The stagnant bitcoin charts could spring back to life in the next 24 hours, with a bullish move possibly on the cards.

The cryptocurrency has been moving in a more or less sideways manner for over a week now and – currently trading at $6,848 on Bitfinex – is largely unchanged on a 24-hour basis.

However, the price range continues to narrow on a daily basis (as seen on the chart below) and a breakout appears to be imminent.

Daily chart

The above chart (prices as per Bitfinex) shows:

  • Falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, meaning an upside break would confirm the tide has turned in favor of the bulls.
  • Pennant formation, a bearish continuation pattern, characterized by lower price highs and higher price lows. A downside break would indicate resumption of the sell-off from $9,050 (March 24 high).

So, there are conflicting patterns on the daily chart. That said, the failure on the part of the bears to capitalize on the recent bearish outside-day candle could be an indication of an impending rally.

BTC suffered a high volume drop from $7,189 to $6,611 on April 9 (bearish outside-day), engulfing the previous day’s price action.

However, the follow-through in the next two trading days has not been encouraging for the bears, given that bitcoin moved back well above $6,611.

The bear’s weakness, when viewed against the backdrop of the basing pattern along the ascending 50-week moving average (MA), suggests there is scope for a minor rally.

Weekly chart

The previous two weekly candles show bitcoin’s dip below the rising (bullish) 50-week MA was short-lived.

As mentioned, BTC hit a low of $6,611 on April 9 and is now trading above the 50-week MA of $6,791. So, a base may have formed along the key moving average support.

The technical set-up also adds credence to historical evidence that bitcoin tends to put on a good show in April every year.


BTC will likely break through $7,100, confirming a falling wedge reversal (bull reversal) and move towards the resistance lined up at $7,510 (April 3 high) in the next 24 hours.

The odds of a bearish revival would rise if the cryptocurrency finds acceptance below $6,600. Such a move would signal downside break of the pennant pattern, thus opening the doors to $6,425.

Posted by George Harrison

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